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Author Topic: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!  (Read 2138 times)

SargeW

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Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« on: September 05, 2017, 08:29:33 PM »
With Irma closing in on Florida and having just achieved a Cat 5 storm status, I will be leaving the Gulf. We have been on the Gulf shore for about the last 5 days, and had a 2 week stay planned at this location.  But with the recent developments with Irma's track, we are heading out on Friday.

We will head up to Stone Mountain, Ga and drop in to see the SIL for a few days.  Then if there is anything left, we are supposed to have a week stay after that in St Augustine on the Atlantic side. Who says this full time stuff is boring! :o
Marty--
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BruceinFL

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2017, 09:04:54 PM »
I think if you leave Friday, you may be in a monumental traffic jam.
Bruce A.
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gwcowgill

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2017, 09:09:01 PM »
We will  leave Homestead Thursday morning with several of our grandchildren with us. This really looks bad. Traffic coming out of the keys has everything clogged up down here now.
2009 Bounder 36B, 2014 Honda CR-V, various grandchildren when school is out. KG4LHS
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SargeW

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2017, 10:13:08 PM »
I think if you leave Friday, you may be in a monumental traffic jam.

I hope not Bruce. We won't be on the Interstates, so hopefully we can miss most of it.
Marty--
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WILDEBILL308

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #4 on: September 05, 2017, 10:23:36 PM »
Marty, Much better to be in front of the crowd than stuck in the pack. I wouldn't wait to long. :))
Bill
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Tom

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2017, 11:05:06 PM »
Stay safe Marty!
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Oldgator73

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2017, 05:13:03 AM »
Just saw on the news not 2 minutes ago that Irma may change course and track up the east coast of FL. They are saying folks cannot evacuate since they don't know where will be out of the path.
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gwcowgill

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2017, 05:40:11 AM »
The turnpike is completely clogged up just north of Homestead, it appears the whole Keys m,ay be evacuating. I am hoping I can get out of here tomorrow morning. If it looks too bad, I may ride it out in my home which withstood Andrew,s eye and Northeast eyewall. Have to wait and see.
2009 Bounder 36B, 2014 Honda CR-V, various grandchildren when school is out. KG4LHS
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gwcowgill

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2017, 05:41:36 AM »
Just saw on the news not 2 minutes ago that Irma may change course and track up the east coast of FL. They are saying folks cannot evacuate since they don't know where will be out of the path.

That would be great news, it all depends on the front coming down and the timing.
2009 Bounder 36B, 2014 Honda CR-V, various grandchildren when school is out. KG4LHS
2014 Honda CRV Toad,
2014 Jeep Grand Cherokee Toad

Gods Country

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2017, 06:30:08 AM »
I would be leaving today, and certainly not heading to Ga.

Be safe.

gwcowgill

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2017, 06:40:25 AM »
I would be leaving today, and certainly not heading to Ga.

Be safe.

When you live this far south, there are not many choices. We will head to Tennessee if it appears it will come straight up Florida. This is by far the strongest storm I have seen comparing very well with Andrew and could be stronger than Andrew. I rode out Andrew but never again.
2009 Bounder 36B, 2014 Honda CR-V, various grandchildren when school is out. KG4LHS
2014 Honda CRV Toad,
2014 Jeep Grand Cherokee Toad

Gods Country

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2017, 06:49:11 AM »
When you live this far south, there are not many choices. We will head to Tennessee if it appears it will come straight up Florida. This is by far the strongest storm I have seen comparing very well with Andrew and could be stronger than Andrew. I rode out Andrew but never again.

Tennessee would seem a safer bet, but who knows.

SargeW

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #12 on: September 06, 2017, 06:59:06 AM »
Hopefully the front will give Irma a push to keep it from a direct impact on the Florida coast.
Marty--
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gwcowgill

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #13 on: September 06, 2017, 07:06:08 AM »
Tennessee would seem a safer bet, but who knows.

Way far out to make an accurate prediction. I plotted Andrew when it was only 80 miles away and missed by 30 miles as I had predicted it to go over Miami when in fact it turned south slightly and hit us dead center, I had 18 minutes of the eye at my home. It was the back side or northeast corner of the storm that wrecked havoc on us.
2009 Bounder 36B, 2014 Honda CR-V, various grandchildren when school is out. KG4LHS
2014 Honda CRV Toad,
2014 Jeep Grand Cherokee Toad

yolo

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #14 on: September 06, 2017, 07:36:35 AM »
We've been up north and are headed home to SW Florida.  We were going to be home tomorrow.  Just made reservations to stay at a park in northern Florida until Monday. 


We went through Hurricane Charley in 2004 which was a cat 4 and don't wish to do that again.
Bill Bell -- SW Florida
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Presently between Motorhome and Rest Home

blw2

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #15 on: September 06, 2017, 07:49:54 AM »
I'm up in the South Jacksonville Saint Aug area.  The local TV weather guy has been saying yesterday that he's leaning more along the lines of what I'm seeing when I look at the spaghetti models..... more of a run up off shore of the east coast of FL....similar to Hurricane Matthew last year.  That one was a cat three when it passed us and I understand that the really strong stuff was just something like 20-30 miles off shore....so that means it missed my house by only 40-50 miles....it was basically a non-event here.  We were gone but I understand the neighborhood only lost power for a short while. 
A few miles can make a huge difference....but you never really now which way it'll lean till it does

Still my points are these:
I think it's smart to wait just a bit more to see how it develops if you are in the panhandle especially.  If I were in South FL or the Tampa area, I think I'd be heading North sooner
I don't understand the NHC track, since it seems to be clearly diverging from almost all of the computer models (and my local weather guy)
Brad (DW + 3 kids)
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Oldgator73

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #16 on: September 06, 2017, 08:08:10 AM »
On another thought, before Harvey gas in Delaware was hovering around $2.10-$2.13 gal. Now it is about $2.70. I hope Irma dies not push it even higher. And I hope businesses in Florida paid attention to what happened when folks in Texas jacked up prices on gas and commodities.
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Oldgator73

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #17 on: September 06, 2017, 08:11:06 AM »
We have family on both the east and west coast of Florida (Daytona and Tampa). Not worried though since they were born and raised there and know what to do.
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Kevin Means

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #18 on: September 06, 2017, 03:55:16 PM »
On another thought, before Harvey gas in Delaware was hovering around $2.10-$2.13 gal. Now it is about $2.70. I hope Irma dies not push it even higher. And I hope businesses in Florida paid attention to what happened when folks in Texas jacked up prices on gas and commodities.
...What we wouldn't give, here in California, to have gas at only $2.70 a gallon!

Kev
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John From Detroit

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #19 on: September 06, 2017, 04:24:58 PM »
Official government (Are you Prepared) Test question (By the way I passed)

Where is the best place to take shelter during a Hurricane?

A: Outdoors
B: indoors
C: underground
D: In a shelter outside the storm area

After I got done laughing because no matter the disaster I have always advised the best place to be is ELSEWHERE.. I answered (D of course).
Nothing adds excitement like something that is none of your business
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Oldgator73

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #20 on: September 06, 2017, 04:37:03 PM »
...What we wouldn't give, here in California, to have gas at only $2.70 a gallon!

Kev

When we started fulltiming in 1998 diesel was about $.90 gallon. We were traveling in a remote area in Texas and needed gas. Only one station in town so stopped and had to pay $1.50 gallon. I told the wife if gas got that high everywhere we would have to give up fulltiming.
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NY_Dutch

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #21 on: September 06, 2017, 04:46:40 PM »
On another thought, before Harvey gas in Delaware was hovering around $2.10-$2.13 gal. Now it is about $2.70. I hope Irma dies not push it even higher. And I hope businesses in Florida paid attention to what happened when folks in Texas jacked up prices on gas and commodities.

Irma should not have any effect on gas prices in general beyond localized demand created issues. Harvey had a significant effect on supply because of the large scale refinery shutdowns, with the expected supply and demand increases. And then there's always those few stations that try to get away price gauging of course.
Dutch
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SargeW

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #22 on: September 06, 2017, 04:52:59 PM »
When I started fulltiming in 2008 at the height of the economic recession,  diesel was selling in CA for nearly $5.00 a gallon. Friends said we were crazy. I didn't think so. 
Marty--
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WILDEBILL308

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #23 on: September 06, 2017, 05:06:41 PM »
Irma should not have any effect on gas prices in general beyond localized demand created issues. Harvey had a significant effect on supply because of the large scale refinery shutdowns, with the expected supply and demand increases. And then there's always those few stations that try to get away price gauging of course.
There is plenty of gas in the system/there is no shortage because of the refinery's shut down in Texas. There is a shortage because people are buying gas that don't need to and the stations can't get re supplied fast enough.
What you see in the rest of the country is just price gouging.
Bill
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Home base Fort Worth, Texas
A man who carries a cat by the tail learns something he can learn in no other way.
-Mark Twain-

LarsMac

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #24 on: September 06, 2017, 05:27:15 PM »
Just saw on the news not 2 minutes ago that Irma may change course and track up the east coast of FL. They are saying folks cannot evacuate since they don't know where will be out of the path.

Anywhere north of Atlanta ought to do.
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NY_Dutch

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #25 on: September 06, 2017, 05:31:30 PM »
There is plenty of gas in the system/there is no shortage because of the refinery's shut down in Texas. There is a shortage because people are buying gas that don't need to and the stations can't get re supplied fast enough.
What you see in the rest of the country is just price gouging.
Bill

So you're saying that losing 20-25% of the US refining capacity including the largest refinery in the country had no effect on supply? There was no need for the Energy Department to release a half-million barrels of crude oil to a refinery in Louisiana to help mitigate shortages?
Dutch
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2011 Toyota RAV4 4WD/Remco pump
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WILDEBILL308

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #26 on: September 06, 2017, 06:55:44 PM »
That is exactly what I am saying. look hearer. 
http://www.wfaa.com/news/local/railroad-commissioner-no-fuel-crisis-in-texas/469905307
A half-million barrels of crude oil is a drop in the bucket compared to refined stocks on hand.
Bill
« Last Edit: September 06, 2017, 06:58:38 PM by WILDEBILL308 »
2003 Bounder 38N
300 HP 5.9 Cummins
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Towing 2014 Honda CRV
Home base Fort Worth, Texas
A man who carries a cat by the tail learns something he can learn in no other way.
-Mark Twain-

catblaster

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #27 on: September 06, 2017, 07:29:55 PM »
For those of you waiting to evacuate, the stampede has already started.; GRIDLOCK: This is what the traffic looked like on the Florida Turnpike near Kissimmee late Wednesday afternoon ahead of Hurricane Irma. Safe travels to everyone on the roads!
TRACK: fox13news.com/news/hurricane-irma/279098601-story
Will and Jane
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SargeW

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #28 on: September 06, 2017, 07:38:59 PM »
Is that a guy on roller skates??
Marty--
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Gizmo

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Re: Irma's coming, I'm not sticking around to see how it comes out!
« Reply #29 on: September 06, 2017, 07:43:21 PM »
The smart thing to do, safe travels.
Regards, Bruce, Lin An, Kenji & Suki
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